While
Sweden may have lost their UEFA EURO 2012 opener against host nation
Ukraine, courtesy of a brace from former Milan striker Andrei
Shevchenko, it was a current Milan star centre-forward, was impressing
for Erik Hamren’s side.
Zlatan Ibrahimovic was central to all of the Scandinavians’ good
play, scoring their goal and mustering a total of four shots, a haul
only five players could better during the first round of group games.
The towering former Barcelona man was rarely out of the action in
the game against Ukraine, drifting all over the pitch and challenging
for a total of 18 duels, more than any other player in the first round.
Expect the big man to keep John Terry and Joleon Lescott very busy on
Friday.
Welbeck
While Ibrahimovic has used his physical strength and presence to
good effect all ready in UEFA EURO 2012™, England striker Danny
Welbeck, at 21, nine years Ibra’s junior, used his speed and mobility
against France during the Three Lions’ opener against France.
However, while Ibrahimovic carried a goal threat for the Swedes,
Manchester United starlet Welbeck, shackled by England’s defensive
tactics, spent much of his time closing down the French rather than
troubling their goal.
However, the striker did hold the ball up superbly for England, and
rarely lost it, a fact borne out by his passing accuracy figure of 92%,
a rate only Dutch star Robin van Persie could better (only including
strikers).
With Sweden losing to Ukraine and England drawing with France, both
sides will be desperate for a win this game. Both the charismatic
Ibrahimovic and the willing Welbeck may well both play key roles in the
outcome of this very finely-balanced clash.
Henderson
England manager Roy Hodgson has expressed concerns about the fitness
of his central midfield pair, Steven Gerrard and Scott Parker, leading
to the possibility of Jordan Henderson getting more than just an
extended cameo against Sweden on Friday.
Castrol EDGE Performance data shows that the maligned Liverpool
youngster has had a far more positive impact this season than he is
credited for. When Henderson has started, Liverpool have won 40% of
their matches at an average of 1.43 points per game. When he has not,
Liverpool have won 25% of their matches at an average of 1.13 points
per game.
Liverpool have also been more creative with Henderson on the field,
averaging 1.3 goals per game when he has started and only 1 goal per
game when he has not.
Aerial
Roy Hodgson’s new look England side got their UEFA EURO 2012™
campaign underway with a decent draw against group favourites France.
While the goal from Les Bleus came courtesy of a well-worked goal from
Samir Nasri, England’s strike was more prosaic, coming when centre-half
Joleon Lescott headed home Steven Gerrard’s inswinging free-kick.
According to Castrol EDGE Performance analysis, the make-up of the
goal came as no surprise, as 38% of their 13 goals since the start of
last season (including the one against France) have been from headers.
As well as proving to be potent in the air, England have also
impressed from dead-ball situations over the last 12 months, with four
of their goals coming from set-pieces.
Five of England’s 13 goals since last August have also come from
crosses, with two more originating from the flanks. This strength from
wide areas (see graphics below) was apparent all the way though
England’s UEFA EURO 2012™ qualifying campaign, particularly from the
right flank.
Can England shrug off the ‘Defensive’ label they’ve acquired under Hodgeson against a desperate Sweden?
Or will Ibra’s class show through against a dogged English defence?
Let us know in the comments!